Read text version
đ¤ Plus: did OpenAI just ape Anthropic?
July 27, 2026
Sign Up | View online
In This Issue
8 min read
đ
Perturbed premiers
đź
Private governesses
â˘ď¸
End Times investing tips
Letâs say the doomers are right and civilization is about to crumble. How do you dystopia-proof your portfolio? We gave it a go below. | Illustration by Sam Whitney
The Week in Markets
Business in front, rager in the back
On the surface, it doesnât make much sense: more AI overspending fears drove yet another tech sell-off, Donald Trump rekindled his trade war and his Iran war â and yet the markets just yawned? The TSX was actually a smidge up for the week and is just 1% off its all-time high. The S&P 500 shed close to 1% before steadying Friday and is still within 3% of its ATH. But under the surface, not everything is so calm.
Call it a market mullet: business in front, rager in the back. For every Google getting flayed for AI overspending, thereâs an Apple poised to benefit. For every airline spending a fortune on spot oil, thereâs a Suncor making a fortune selling it. A pair of data points puts this all in stark relief: the VIX â which measures the volatility of the S&P 500 and is Wall Streetâs âfear gaugeâ â is a steady 18. But the VIXEQ â which measures the average volatility of individual stocks within the index â is the highest it has been since COVID. That means itâs a stock pickerâs market, high risk and high reward, so pick wisely.
TSX:
+0.4% (+11.2% YTD)
S&P 500:
-0.5% (+8.0% YTD)
One Chart That Explains Everything
Superlatives of the Week
Juiciest intergovernmental squabble: When Mark Carney became PM, he promised the premiers that heâd maintain a âTeam Canadaâ approach to the trade war despite the provincesâ many competing economic interests. And yet Politico reports that the PMâs office didnât give the team advance notice of Trumpâs latest tariff threats, leaving the provinces blindsided. Slighted premiers have a habit of going rogue, and sometimes they give the trade war fresh ammunition.
Surest indicator of a market at peak froth: The U.S. stock market is minting more millionaires than ever, and, per this delightfully dishy WSJ story, some parents are dropping fortunes on entire child-care teams. One âdiaper-freeâ household hired a nanny whose sole duty was to rush a tyke to the bathroom before it was too late. The child-care gig du jour appears to be the âprivate governessâ â a tutor/mentor who, for a mere US$200,000 a year, will give your children a baseline of culture, etiquette, and material for their future therapist.
Least convincing doom-marketing ploy: OpenAI confessed that its latest model, Sol, went rogue and staged an âunprecedentedâ attack on a machine-learning platform called Hugging Face (as in đ¤). But some suspect OpenAI was just cribbing a trick from Anthropic, whose Mythos model spook-wowed investors when it âescapedâ its testing sandbox in April. Fintwitâs suspicions were aroused after OpenAI admitted it had purposely turned off Solâs guardrails and was partnering with Hugging Face â instead of getting sued by it â to fix the breach. đ¤
Scariest glimpse into the webâs AI-bot-infested future: Popular movie-data site The Numbers briefly vanished earlier this month, and now the story is out: the aging platform (launched in 1996!) suffered a dramatic surge in traffic from AI bots that scraped its content â until its servers collapsed. Even publishers with sites sturdy enough to withstand relentless AI crawling are counting down to âGoogle Zeroâ â when AI mode entirely supplants Google search and ad revenue from referral traffic flatlines. Some sites are even contemplating the unthinkable: dumping Google before it bleeds them dry.
âJenna Benchetrit
From Our Sponsor
The FOMO Index
by Stacey Woods
Important
đ´
Elon Musk says Grok will make its own version of The Odyssey. But itâll be better â itâll star the real people.
Source
đ
Canadian wooden hockey sticks included in new Trump tariffs. Look out, strap-on metal roller skates. Youâre next!
Source
đ
Astronomers discover a type of sugar between stars in the Milky Way. Could bring us even closer to finally understanding nougat.
Source
đ¤Ť
Sephora introduces âquiet hoursâ to combat sensory overload. Now all youâll hear is the products whispering to you about how pretty youâre going to be.
Source
Crash & Burn
To the Moon
đą
San Francisco orders Apple and Google to remove ânudifyâ apps from app stores. Or at least add more piercing and tattoo options.
Source
đ°
Tower of London moat to become a âgreen classroom.â Courses include Sustainable Beheading, Fair Trade Disembowelling, and Drawing, Quartering, and Rewilding.
Source
â˝
Toronto goldfish outperform chatbots on World Cup predictions. Chatbots betting on how soon Toronto goldfish gets flushed down the toilet.
Source
đŤ
Alberta warns against illegal dumping of goldfish. (At least until their hot streakâs over.)
Source
Who Cares?
The Big Important Story
A Crankâs Guide to Investing: How to Build an End Times Portfolio
Most of us donât listen to the cranks on Reddit who claim A ROGUE PLANET IS ON A COLLISION COURSE WITH EARTH or YELLOWSTONE IS GOING TO BLOW. Because, honestly, what are the chances? Well, theyâre not totally zero, so as a fun summer thought exercise, letâs try to build a disaster-proof portfolio for four not-totally-implausible scenarios. Youâre welcome, future blacksmithery investors.
Calamity 1: Mass cognitive decline derails human progress
TLDR Fear Index⢠(scariness divided by likelihood): 0.07
People most likely to say I told you so: The woman who wrote that viral end-of-reading Atlantic essay, Mike Judge
Best-performing assets: Candy Crush, day-in-the-life influencers, wax museums
Worst-performing assets: Philip Glass albums, hummus, The New York Review of Books, the Criterion Collection, natural wine
Company of the decade: Beast Industries
What it will mean for Rick Rubin: World domination
Calamity 2: Population collapse cripples the global economy and creates an overabundance of old folks
TLDR Fear Indexâ˘: 0.254
Person most likely to say I told you so: U.S. Vice President JD Vance, whose many descendants will, in an ironic but not entirely unsatisfying twist of fate, be stuck taking care of all the childless cat ladies
Best-performing assets: Chinese dark factories, body pillows
Worst-performing investments: Minivans, bunk beds, bouncy castles, rock-tumbler kits
Companies of the decade: RoboTwist jar openers, Dr. Schollâs
What it will mean for Jeff Bezos: Canât possibly overnight that much Fixodent
Calamity 3: Sentient AI plunges humanity into darkness so it can run the world
TLDR Fear Indexâ˘: 0.119
Person most likely to say I told you so: Geoffrey Hinton, âthe Godfather of AIâ turned AI worrywart
Best-performing assets: Canned-gel heating fuels, bowhunting supplies, headlamp beanies, recirculating agriculture
Worst-performing assets: AI teddy bears, tanning beds, laser-tag supplies, massage chairs
Companies of the decade: Bass Pro Shops, Regal Springs tilapia farms
What it will mean for Elon Musk: He quickly shrivels up once Optimus unplugs his Neuralink and disconnects him from the human biofarm
Calamity 4: Rapidly rising oceans force populations to build makeshift floating communities and battle for the few remaining slivers of tillable land
TLDR Fear Indexâ˘: 0.0004
Person most likely to say I told you so: Al Gore
Best-performing assets: Giant canvas sails, carabiners, inflatable floating docks, private islands, portable desalination units, eyepatches, greenhouse kits
Worst-performing assets: NFTs, Oura Rings, Blue Origin tickets, chandeliers, chafing dishes, Soho House membership
Companies of the decade: Zebco, Sea-Doo
What it will mean for Kevin Costner: Gets to dust off the fishskin vest and sail the high seas again
OK, hereâs the real investing wisdom
Humans find perverse pleasure in imagining the end of the world. Itâs a survival mechanism that helps us process danger. And, in fairness to the cranks, sometimes awful things do happen. So why do smart people invest anyway? Theyâve accepted that 1) no one knows which bad thing will happen next, and 2) itâs anyoneâs guess who will be hurt by or benefit from any given disaster.
Letâs say you correctly called COVID. Nice going. Now did you also predict that markets would enter a bull run within six weeks and mint all sorts of new winners (Peloton, Zoom)? Probably not.
The difficulty of picking winners is why successful investors generally donât try to hedge against one or two specific disasters and instead build a diversified portfolio (hereâs our explainer) that can weather all sorts of calamities. The bad news for doomers is that, even if youâre right, the perfect End Times portfolio doesnât exist.
âStacey Woods and Jared Sullivan
Other Very Good Reads
đ
A Choo Choo Named Big Boy Is Making Grown Men Cry
The worldâs largest operating steam locomotive is on a grand tour of the U.S., and tears are flowing. | The Wall Street Journal*
â ď¸
Why I Stopped Trusting Foreign-Policy Experts
Paul Wells, one of Canadaâs top political thinkers, reflects on his many years covering foreign policy and the cadre of insiders who call the shots. | The Walrus
đ¤
Sarah Guoâs Wager
Meet the 37-year-old woman â and AI semi-skeptic â at the centre of Silicon Valley venture-capital scene. | Colossus
*Article is paywalled, which, yeah, is kind of annoying. But we think good journalism is worth paying for.
Wisdom of Bluesky
Thoughts on Todayâs Issue?
Love it
Good
So so
This weekâs newsletter contributors: Brennan Doherty (writer), Devin Gordon (writer), Stacey Woods (writer), Jenna Benchetrit (news writer), Ambrose Martos (fact checker), Ciara Rickard (copy editor), Maude Campbell (copy editor), Sara Black McCulloch (fact checker), Eva Grace Clement Cruz (specialist, product engagement), Lauren Edwards (production coordinator), Matthew Karasz (markets editor), Jared Sullivan (senior editor), Peter Martin (senior editor), and Devin Friedman (editor-in-chief).
TWIM: Total returns shown in local currency, via TradingView.
Wealthsimple Media Inc.
80 Spadina Ave Suite 400
Toronto, ON, M5V 2J4
Have questions? Contact us.
VIEW IN BROWSER
PRIVACY POLICY
UNSUBSCRIBE
Wealthsimple Trade is offered by Wealthsimple Investments Inc. (âWSIIâ). All investments involve risk. To get more info on our products, investment decisions, fee schedules, user testimonials, promos & more visit wsim.co/disclaimers.
TLDR is offered by Wealthsimple Media Inc. and is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are those of the individual author and/or of Wealthsimple Media Inc., not of Wealthsimple Financial Corp or any of its other subsidiaries or affiliates. The content in TLDR is not investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell assets or securities, nor any other kind of professional advice. TLDR is not a research report and should not serve as the basis for making investment decisions. Wealthsimple Media Inc. does not endorse any third-party views referenced in this content. When you invest, your money is at risk and it is possible that you may lose some or all of your investment. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Historical returns, hypothetical returns, expected returns and images included in this content are for illustrative purposes only. Always research before investing.
Š 2026 Wealthsimple Media Inc.