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December 8, 2025
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IN THIS ISSUE
8 min read
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Building bummers
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Price-fixing payouts
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Steep-priced streamers
Real estate was a trap for Robin Williams in Jumanji (the Citizen Kane of kidsâ movies) and it can ensnare entire countries, too. We explain below. | Sony Pictures Entertainment
THE WEEK IN MARKETS
Has Bitcoin finally lost its shine?
After a rough November, the bounce-back kept bouncing last week â but weâre going to focus on the one exception: Bitcoin, which is now down 10% since the start of 2025, a year in which stocks are way up. Itâs that last part â the widening divergence between Bitcoin and tech stocks â that has investors wondering whether Bitcoin has finally lost its shine.
The questions around it are getting existential, as in: what even is Bitcoin? Historically it has traded like a tech stock, bought and sold by similar people with similar future outlooks. But it hasnât been behaving like a tech stock lately. For some it was a sanctuary from currency debasement, like digital gold. But not anymore. So whatâs going on? Bloombergâs Merryn Somerset Webb says it could be just volatility as usual â or it could be the HODLers (âhold on for dear lifersâ) who bought coins with a lot of borrowed money are finally staring down selling. That includes the one HODLer to rule them all, Strategy Inc.âs Michael Saylor, whose next move â to sell off or not to sell off â could determine Bitcoinâs fate from here.
THE CHART OF THE WEEK
Last week, Netflix announced itâll buy Warner Bros.â studios and the HBO Max streaming service for US$82.7 billion. If the deal goes through, Crave might lose its HBO content, which could challenge (to put it mildly) its ability to keep raising prices.
FIVE INTERESTING THINGS LAST WEEK (AND ONE IMPORTANT REMINDER)
Did Sam Altman order a code red on Gemini3? Youâre g*d*mn right he did! In November, Google released its Gemini3 chatbot to rave reviews and strong accuracy ratings. User growth exploded â which startled industry leader OpenAI so much that CEO Sam Altman issued a company-wide âcode redâ directive to improve ChatGPT 5.1, the widely panned update to its flagship product. Cue the frantic reshuffling of teams, the mothballing of projects, and the launch of daily check-in calls with the boss himself.
Good news jobs-wise! Canadaâs unemployment rate fell to 6.5% in November, the third straight month of big job gains and a sign that the economy is weathering the trade war better than expected.
Bad news housing-wise! A new report finds that Build Canada Homes â the much-ballyhooed new federal agency that Prime Minister Mark Carney has tasked with ramping up construction â is on track to build only about 5,000 units a year, just a wee bit shy of its 500,000-unit annual goal.
Canadaâs FIFA Menâs World Cup group draw isnât so scary â yet. Our menâs national team (FIFA rank: 27) will compete in Group B next summer along with Switzerland (17), Qatar (51), and the winner of âEuropean Playoff A,â which includes Wales (32), Northern Ireland (69), Bosnia and Herzegovina (71), and ⊠Italy (12). Eek. At least weâll have home-field advantage.
U.S. regulators throw cold water on the ETF rager. The U.S. SEC blocked nine firms from launching new ultra-ultra-leveraged ETFs for fear they were too risky. Itâs a curious milestone for ETFs, which were created in the â90s to help investors diversify, aka de-risk. But these days, highly leveraged ETFs are among the most perilous assets in U.S. or Canadian markets: they amplify the daily ups (or downs đ) of an underlying fund by 2x or 3x. DIY traders have been piling in, and last week was the first sign that regulators â who nixed what would have been the U.S.âs first 5x ETFs â think the party has perhaps gotten out of hand.
REMINDER: Donât forget to claim your free bread ! The deadline to claim your slice of the $500-million bread-price-fixing class-action settlement is Dec. 12. If you bought packaged bread from one of Canadaâs major grocery stores between 2001 and 2021 , youâre eligible. The opposite of sour dough!
âClaire Porter Robbins
FROM OUR SPONSOR
THE FOMO INDEX by Stacey Woods
IMPORTANT
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Oxford English Dictionaryâs word of the year is ârage bait.â Hey, Oxford, itâs word of the year, not phrase of the year, dammit!
Source
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U.S. beats Canada in new ranking of most generous countries. Or perhaps Canada was just generous enough to let the U.S. go first.
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New Canadian gay hockey romance, Heated Rivalry, is blowing up on HBO Max. Activists hope itâll help change the stigma around hockey.
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This yearâs Spotify Wrapped embraces a pre-internet aesthetic. Too bad its royalties donât embrace a pre-streaming aesthetic.
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CRASH
& BURN
TO THE
MOON
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Ocean Spray looking into unusual complaint that cranberry sauce cans are filled with water. Usual complaint is that theyâre filled with cranberry sauce.
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California town votes to make pickleball a crime. Offenders will be sentenced to a good, swift paddling.
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NORAD launches its Santa Tracker. Christmas Eve will be filled with cries of âNot that way, you idiot!â and âCan we still add some Cokes?â
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DNA reveals that 10,500-year-old wad of âgumâ was chewed by teenage girl. More testing needed to determine if she was rolling her eyes at the time.
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WHO CARES
THE BIG IMPORTANT STORY
Q&A
How Canada, and Much of the World, Got Stuck in a Land Trap
If youâre a first-time homebuyer, itâs easy to feel as if the entire system is rigged against you. Housing prices keep rising, wages have stagnated, and new construction has proved maddeningly slow. How did housing in a place like Canada, with a small population and an abundance of land, reach crisis levels? Mike Bird, the Wall Street editor for The Economist and author of The Land Trap: A New History of the Worldâs Oldest Asset, has answers.
Letâs start broad: why is land unlike any other financial asset?
Every other asset in the world depreciates, rapidly or slowly. Houses fall down. Bridges collapse. Ideas become irrelevant. This isnât true for land. Thereâs no innovative element to its value; instead, most of its value is maintained by economic activity happening around it. If you buy it and that activity continues, thereâs no reason it canât stay valuable.
So land appreciates, but itâs a nonproductive asset. Yet you make an interesting point in your book that land has, in some respects, helped to spur economic activity. Explain that.
A lot of what we think of as small-business lending in most of the world is actually mortgage lending. Loans are secured against an entrepreneurâs residence. In a world with no homeownership, itâs difficult to imagine the vast majority of small businesses having access to credit at all.
But thereâs more to the story: your book argues that, in the long run, soaring land prices can damage an economy. How so?
If people canât afford land, they often donât have collateral to borrow capital. So an entrepreneur with a good idea may never get a chance to fund their business. Then, over time, as land prices soar higher, banks slowly become mortgage originators and do far, far less business lending because land is seen as safer. Then the corporate side atrophies.
This is the thesis of your book: land is a trap because it often outcompetes other assets and sucks capital from more productive areas. This sounds like the Canadian story.
Right. The U.S. has a robust venture-capital and private-equity infrastructure, so young companies have a way to secure funding outside of banks. But in Canada, you donât have as much of that.
In Canada and elsewhere, all sorts of policies and tax incentives make land an overly attractive investment. You propose ending such measures to alleviate the land trap. The trouble is that many ordinary people rely on their homes to finance their retirement. How do you end these policies without screwing them over?
Thereâs a huge merit argument for taxing land more extensively to discourage speculation and to make land a less attractive asset. But you canât tell people for decades that homeownership is the path to security, as many governments have, and then turn around and say, âNow weâre going to rinse you for it.â These homeowners havenât done anything wrong. This is why itâs really tough to reform land policies.
You write about how Singapore has avoided many aspects of the land trap. What did it do?
Singaporeâs early leaders wanted businesses to thrive; they didnât want all investment to flow to real estate. So the government bought about 90% of the land and provided quality, low-cost public housing to millions of citizens. If youâre a citizen, you buy a 99-year lease for a flat, and you can only buy one. And noncitizens are severely restricted from buying property. This approach caps prices, and it has helped Singapore build a low-tax, freewheeling free-market system that doesnât disadvantage people or businesses.
This interview, which was edited for length and clarity, was conducted by Brennan Doherty.
SPEAKING OF LANDâŠ
Are the suburbs really so awful? Depends!
Dan Wang, an analyst whoâs fintwit famous for his annual letters on China, went on Tyler Cowenâs podcast to discuss his new book, Breakneck. Itâs a compelling conversation: Cowen, an economics professor at George Mason, challenges Wangâs view that the West is failing because itâs not investing tons in infrastructure, arguing that our quality health care and pleasant suburbs make up for it. Give it a listen if you like wonkish debates: Apple Spotify YouTube.
POSTS OF WISDOM
Our aesthetic goals for 2026âŠ
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This weekâs newsletter contributors: Brennan Doherty (writer), Devin Gordon (writer), Claire Porter Robbins (writer), Stacey Woods (writer), Ambrose Martos (fact checker), Ciara Rickard (copy editor), Maude Campbell (copy editor), Sara Black McCulloch (fact checker), Mohini Tailor (lifecycle marketing manager), Eva Grace Clement Cruz (lifecycle marketing associate), Setareh Sarmadi (senior editorial producer), Matthew Karasz (markets editor), Jared Sullivan (senior editor), Peter Martin (senior editor), and Devin Friedman (editor-in-chief).
Disclosures: Contributors to this newsletter own shares in Google.
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